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NEO coordination and big data
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An interesting connection between Earth Observation and NEO monitoring activities has been unveiled through the NEO Coordination Centre participation at the "Big Data From Space" meeting, held at ESRIN from 5 to 7 june 2013 (http://www.congrexprojects.com/2013-events/13c10/programme).

The meeting aims to timely face the challenge of the huge increase in the images flow coming from space which will characterise the next generation of Earth Observation missions. The study case presented by the NEOCC refers to the discovery and characterization of the Kamil crater, a rayed impact crater with 45 m in diameter located in southern Egypt and first identified on Google Earth in 2008.

 

A geophysical expedition was undertaken in February 2010, which collected several hundred kilograms of nickel-enriched iron meteorites and performed in-situ measurements.

Prior to the expedition extensive analysis of the impact site was performed by both high resolution optical images and by radar acquisitions from the Italian COSMO-SkyMed satellites (on the left - The Kamil crater floor depth is 16 m and is overlain by a 6 m-thick crater-fill material, which is consistent with a crater generated by an iron meteorite 1.3 m in diameter impacting at a velocity between 3 and 4 km/s. QuickBird Image 2009, Courtesy of Telespazio.), allowing detailed geo-morphological analysis of the features surrounding the crater and the search for secondary impacts.

The possibility of setting up an extended survey of small impact craters in inaccessible regions by using multispectral high resolution images appears then an appealing opportunity and a novel application within the "Big Data" initiative.

The utilisation of Earth Observation data for developing and implementing new services at the NEO Coordination Centre and their contribution to operations has been also discussed.

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An unexpected very close approach
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Exposure animation for asteroid 2020 HS7 as observed by the Tautenburg Observatory on 28 April 2020, a few hours after the Pan-STARRS project reported the discovery.
Credit: ESA / Tautenburg Observatory, S. Melnikov, C. Hoegner, B. Stecklum

On the evening of 27 April (European time), the NASA-funded Pan-STARRS project in Hawaii reported observations of a new asteroid, temporarily labelled P20ZIf8, collected with their second survey telescope over a timespan of less than an hour during the previous observing night. These observations immediately showed that the object was extremely close to our planet, and had a ~10% probability of being on a collision course, heading for a possible impact the following day.

This circumstance attracted the attention of many observers worldwide. Less than 50 minutes after the initial report by Pan-STARRS, the Xingming Observatory in China obtained the first follow-up astrometry, followed about an hour later by one of our collaborators, the Tautenburg observatory in Germany, which we had alerted asking for immediate observations. With this data, it became clear that the object was not going to collide with the Earth, but it was heading towards a very close fly-by the following day, roughly at the distance of Earth's geostationary orbit (although ~10° below it). The object was just a few metres in size, and therefore it would not have caused any significant threat even if it had been on a collision course. It had nevertheless been an interesting exercise to test the discovery and rapid follow-up capabilities of worldwide observers. Subsequent astrometry, obtained by additional collaborators of our Centre and by many other observatories worldwide, is sufficient to determine that the flyby happened on 28 April at about 18:49:40 UTC, and at a distance of about 42 745 km from the Earth centre. These numbers can be determined with a precision of just a few kilometres and a few seconds, showing that the trajectory of a nearby object can be established with exquisite accuracy even with just a day of data, if good observational coverage can be obtained.

The fly-by of this asteroid, now named 2020 HS7, ranks among the 50 closest ever recorded. Interestingly, the fly-by happened only 15 hours before the closest approach of (52768) 1998 OR2, a much larger kilometre-sized object that attracted the attention of the worldwide media. However, this latter object only approached our planet 16 times farther than the Moon (more than 6 million kilometres away), while 2020 HS7 came significantly closer to us and likely represented a more significant event for the astronomical community.

For further information please consult this ESA news.

Plots representing the orbit of asteroid 2020 HS7 in its close Earth fly-by on the 28 April 2020: on the left, the orbit as seen from the Ecliptic North Pole, on the right as it seen on the Ecliptic plane, crossing it with an angle of ~10 degrees (see Orbit Visualizer).

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New NELIOTA project detects flashes from lunar impacts
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Using a system developed under an ESA contract, the Greek NELIOTA project has begun to detect flashes of light caused by small pieces of rock striking the Moon's surface. NELIOTA is the first system that can determine the temperature of these impact flashes. 

Lunar impact flash. Credit: NELIOTA project (left panel). Kryoneri Observatory, Greece. (right panel). Credit: Theofanis Matsopoulos

Studies such as NELIOTA are important because Earth and its Moon are constantly bombarded by natural space debris. Most of this material ranges in size from dust particles to small pebbles, although larger objects can appear, unexpectedly, from time to time. This was the case when an object almost 20 m in diameter disintegrated above the Russian city of Chelyabinsk in February 2013. The resultant explosion, caught on camera, caused considerable damage, although, fortunately, no one was killed.

Particles only millimetres across usually appear several times per hour on any clear dark night in the form of meteors or 'shooting stars'. However, the number of incoming objects in the size range from decimetres to metres is not well known. Too small to be detected directly with telescopes, they are rarely captured by cameras when they enter Earth's atmosphere.

One way to determine the number of larger impactors and the potential impact threat to Earth is to observe the Moon, in particular the dark area not illuminated by the Sun. When small asteroids strike the lunar surface at high speed, they burn up on impact, generating a brief flash of light, which can be visible from Earth. Assuming a typical velocity and density, the size and mass of the object can be estimated from the brightness of the event.

A new campaign to study these lunar flashes is being undertaken by the NELIOTA (Near-Earth object Lunar Impacts and Optical TrAnsients) project, which began operation on 8 March 2017. NELIOTA utilises a refurbished telescope, which is operated by the National Observatory of Athens and located close to the Greek town of Kryoneri.

The 1.2 m telescope splits incoming light into two colours and uses two advanced digital cameras to record the data at a rate of 30 frames per second. Observations of the Moon's night hemisphere are made whenever Earth's natural satellite is above the horizon and mainly dark – between New Moon and the first quarter phase, or between last quarter and New Moon.

Automated software analyses the video obtained and identifies possible impact flashes. Camera effects can be excluded by identifying events that are only visible in both cameras. The cameras operate in different colour ranges, allowing the temperature of the impact flash to be estimated – NELIOTA is the first system of this type to have the potential to determine the temperature of these flashes.

The exceptional capability of the telescope was confirmed during its pre-operational, commissioning phase, when it recorded four impact flashes in about 11 hours of observing time. The task is now to observe these flashes on the dark side of the Moon over a period of 22 months.

"Its large telescope aperture enables NELIOTA to detect fainter flashes than other lunar monitoring surveys and provides precise colour information not currently available from other projects", says Alceste Bonanos, the Principal Investigator for NELIOTA.

"Our twin camera system allows us to confirm lunar impact events with a single telescope, something that has not been done before. Once data have been collected over the 22-month long operational period, we will be able to better constrain the number of NEOs (near-Earth objects) in the decimetre to metre size range."

"The data will also help to determine the physics of impact flashes. We are analysing the flashes in collaboration with the Science Support Office of ESA, in order to measure the temperature of each flash and estimate the mass, size of the impactor and crater size created from the impact."

Lunar impact flash. Credit: NELIOTA project

"These observations are very relevant for our Space Situational Awareness programme. In particular, in the size range we can observe here, the number of objects is not very well known. Performing these observations over a longer period of time will help us to better understand this number", says Detlef Koschny, co-manager of the near-Earth object segment in ESA's Space Situational Awareness programme, and a scientist in the Science Support Office.

NELIOTA is also contributing to public outreach and education.

"We are currently training two PhD students to operate the Kryoneri telescope and conduct lunar monitoring observations", says Alceste.

"We also organise public tours of Kryoneri Observatory, during which we present the NELIOTA project, as well as talks on near-Earth asteroids for students and for the general public. This year, we plan to participate in Asteroid Day 2017, by organising a public event at Kryoneri Observatory on 30 June."

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

The National Observatory of Athens developed and operates NELIOTA. It is funded through a contract with ESA's Science Directorate.

The NELIOTA website (http://neliota.astro.noa.gr/) provides the observational characteristics of the flashes (time, duration, magnitude, coordinates) within 24 hours of the observations.

Following its upgrade in 2016 for the NELIOTA project, the Kryoneri telescope is mainly used for lunar monitoring. It is also contributing to follow-up photometry of transient events, such as those detected by ESA's Gaia mission, as well as asteroid occultations.

One of the dangers humans on the Moon would face is that a small asteroid could damage their infrastructure – NELIOTA will help estimate the danger from such small asteroids. As the Moon doesn't have an atmosphere, it cannot block the smaller – but still dangerous – objects. It is likely that permanent structures on the Moon will be underground, to provide better shielding from both small asteroids or meteoroids and solar radiation.

CONTACTS

Alceste Bonanos, NELIOTA Principal Investigator
Institute for Astronomy, Astrophysics, Space Applications and Remote Sensing
National Observatory of Athens
Greece
Phone: +30 210 8109177
Email: bonanos@astro.noa.gr

Detlef Koschny, SSA-NEO co-manager
Directorate of Science
European Space Agency
Email: Detlef.Koschny@esa.int

Vicente Navarro, NELIOTA Technical Officer
Directorate of Science
European Space Agency
Email: Vicente.Navarro@esa.int

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Fireball over The Netherlands
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A bright fireball occurred over The Netherlands on 21 September 2017 at 19:00 UTC (21:00 CEST). In addition to many individual sightings, it was also recorded by an all-sky camera dedicated to recording exactly such events. The camera is part of the Fireball Recovery and InterPlanetary Observation (FRIPON) network (https://www.fripon.org), and is hosted on the roof of a building at ESA's ESTEC technical centre in Noordwijk, The Netherlands.

Other FRIPON cameras which recorded the event were located in Lille and Brussels. The combined data will allow to the object's trajectory to be reconstructed. It is most likely that any resulting fragments – meteorites – will have fallen into the North Sea.

Fireball sightings such as this can be reported to the International Meteor Organisation (http://www.imo.net) or to the American Meteor Society (http://www.amsmeteors.org). Reports for this particular fireball can be seen via https://www.amsmeteors.org/members/imo_view/event/2017/3301.

The ESTEC FRIPON camera was funded by the ESTEC Science Faculty.

A bright fireball occurred over The Netherlands on 21 Sep at 19:00 UTC (21:00 CEST). Credit: ESA/D. Koschny/A. Toni/FRIPON team.

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2018 LA, the third predicted NEO impact on Earth
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For the third time in recent history of asteroid detection a NEO was detected a few hours before it entered the Earth atmosphere (the two previous cases were 2008 TC3 and 2014 AA).

Asteroid 2018 LA was discovered by the Catalina Sky Survey in the early morning (European time) of this Saturday, 2 June.

​​​​​​In a matter of hours additional observations were made and it became very probable that it would collide with the Earth. The approximate impact corridor was over a thin stripe crossing Botswana and Namibia. The same evening a number of local observations started to arrive at the International Meteor Organisation reporting a very bright fireball detected in the mentioned area. It was confirmed that the observed fireball actually corresponded to 2018 LA. Details about the observed fireball can be found here: https://www.imo.net/asteroid-2018-la-hit-the-atmosphere-over-botswana-on-june-2/

The object had a size of 2 to 5 m and approached the Earth with a relative velocity of approximately 17 km/s from the night side. Due to its small size and high entry velocity the object could only be detected on its final plunge to Earth. It is expected to have completely disintegrated in the atmosphere.

Discovery images of 2018 LA obtained on 2 June 2018 with the 1.5 m telescope at Mt. Lemmon, Arizona (USA). Credit: Catalina Sky Survey / University of Arizona / NASA

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Call for media: ESA hosts IAA Planetary Defence Conference 2015
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ESA Space Situational Awareness: detecting space hazardsESA will host the International Academy of Astronautic's 4th Planetary Defence Conference (PDC 2015), entitled ‘Assessing Impact Risk & Managing Response', at the Agency's ESRIN establishment, near Rome, 13–17 April 2015. A media briefing will be held on 16 April 2015.
 
PDC 2015 will provide a forum for the world's top experts from space agencies, academia and industry to present the latest research and discuss current scientific understanding of the risk posed by asteroids that could potentially strike our planet.
 
Topics to be discussed at PDC 2015 include planetary defence, the continuing international search for undiscovered NEOs, the state of scientific knowledge of asteroids and their physical characteristics, mitigation techniques, future deflection missions, impact warning and effects, civil response and education. The conference will include an exercise where participants will simulate the decision-making process for developing deflection and civil defence responses to a hypothetical asteroid impact threat.
 
Media are invited to take part in the PDC2015 press briefing, Thursday, 16 April, to include presentations from agency experts and the release of summary findings from the week-long conference.
 

Assessing the threat

Asteroid vapour trail
Of the more than 600 000 known asteroids in our Solar System, more than 12 000 are classified as near-Earth objects, or NEOs, because their orbits bring them relatively close to our path.
 
Dramatic proof that any of these can strike Earth came on 15 February 2013, when an unknown object thought to be 17–20 m in diameter arrived at 66 000 km/h and exploded high above Chelyabinsk, Russia, with 20–30 times the energy of the Hiroshima atomic bomb.
 
The resulting shock wave caused widespread damage and injuries, making it the largest known natural object to have entered the atmosphere since the 1908 Tunguska event, which destroyed a remote forest area of Siberia.
 

Coordinating Europe's efforts

International cooperation to address the NEO threat is coordinated at ESA by the Space Situational Awareness (SSA) Programme office.
 
In addition to coordinating Europe's asteroid-hunting activities, the SSA Programme office represents ESA at the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG), technical fora with a mandate from the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (UNCOPUOS) to develop a strategy on how to react to a possible asteroid impact threat.
 

Press briefing 16 April

The media briefing will be held at ESRIN, ESA's Centre for Earth Observation, in Frascati, near Rome, on 16 April 2015.
Doors open at 10:00 CEST (08:00 GMT)
 

Programme:

CREOP Room, Building 11, ESRIN

10:00 Doors open; registration
10:30            
The Planetary Defence Conference: Global cooperation against asteroid threats
Dr Detlef Koschny, Head of NEO Segment, ESA Space Situational Awareness Programme
10:45
Finding asteroids & avoiding impacts: space agencies taking action to prevent future catastrophe
Dr Lindley Johnston, NEO Programs Executive, Science Mission Directorate, HQ NASA
11:00
Responding to asteroid threat scenarios - The importance of impact simulation exercises
Debbie Lewis, Director, Resilience Planning at Axiom (Alderney) Ltd.
11:15
Presentation of findings PDC 2015
Dr William Ailor, Distinguished Engineer, The Aerospace Corporation, PDC 2015 co-chair
Richard Tremayne-Smith, Advisor, The Secure World Foundation, PDC 2015 co-chair
11:45 Open Q&A
12:00
End of briefing; opportunities for individual interviews; small group visits to ESA's NEO Coordination Centre
 

Registration

Media representatives wishing to attend the 16 April press briefing are requested to register here. Any media who have already registered for full access to the PDC 2015 conference are automatically registered for this briefing and need take no further action.
 

Contact

For further information, please contact:
ESA Media Relations Office
Email: media@esa.int
Tel: +33 1 53 69 72 99
 
ESA Space Situational Awareness
Programme Communication Officer
Jocelyne Landeau-Constantin
Email: jlc@esa.int
Tel: +49 6151 90 0
 
International Academy of Astronautics
Fabrice Dennemont, office@iaamail.org
Jean-Michel Contant, sgeneral@iaamail.org

Tel.: +33 1 47 23 82 15

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ESA's planetary defence test set for 2020
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Asteroid collision
If an asteroid were spotted headed towards Earth, what could humanity do about it? ESA's latest mission is part of a larger international effort to find out.
 
This month marked the start of preliminary design work on ESA's Asteroid Impact Mission, or AIM. Intended to demonstrate technologies for future deep-space missions, AIM will also be the Agency's very first investigation of planetary defence techniques.
 
Launched in October 2020, AIM will travel to a binary asteroid system – the paired Didymos asteroids, which will come a comparatively close 11 million km to Earth in 2022. The 800 m-diameter main body is orbited by a 170 m moon, informally called ‘Didymoon'.
Laser link
This smaller body is AIM's focus: the spacecraft will perform high-resolution visual, thermal and radar mapping of the moon to build detailed maps of its surface and interior structure.
 
AIM will also put down a lander – ESA's first touchdown on a small body since Rosetta's Philae landed on a comet last November.
 
Two or more CubeSats will also be dispatched from the mothership to gather other scientific data in the vicinity of the moon. AIM's findings will be returned by high-capacity laser link to ESA's Optical Ground Station on Tenerife in the Canary Islands.
Target: DidymoonAIM should gather a rich scientific bounty – gaining valuable insights into the formation of our Solar System – but these activities will also set the stage for a historic event to come.
 
For AIM is also Europe's contribution to the larger Asteroid Impact & Deflection Assessment mission: AIDA. In late 2022, the NASA-led part of AIDA will arrive: the Double Asteroid Redirection Test, or DART, probe will approach the binary system – then crash straight into the asteroid moon at about 6 km/s.
 
"AIM will be watching closely as DART hits Didymoon," explains Ian Carnelli, managing the mission for ESA. "In the aftermath, it will perform detailed before-and-after comparisons on the structure of the body itself, as well as its orbit, to characterise DART's kinetic impact and its consequences.AIM and Didymos binary system
"The results will allow laboratory impact models to be calibrated on a large-scale basis, to fully understand how an asteroid would react to this kind of energy. This will shed light on the role the ejecta plume will play – a fundamental part in the energy transfer and under scientific debate for over two decades.
 
"In addition, DART's shifting of Didymoon's orbit will mark the first time humanity has altered the Solar System.
 
"It will also give us a baseline for planning any future planetary defence strategies. We will gain insight into the kind of force needed to shift the orbit of any incoming asteroid, and better understand how the technique could be applied if a real threat were to occur."
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2014 UR116 is no threat
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The recent claim that asteroid 2014 UR116 may be threatening the Earth shows how difficult it is to convey the right message about the NEO hazard.
 
The no-news spread after statements from the discoverers: the asteroid was no imminent threat but if, in a not yet foreseeable distant future, it hit the Earth then due to its large size (400 m) the effects would be devastating. Of course this is true for many NEOs, highlighting that the real challenge in communicating the asteroid hazard is to correctly handle the dangerous mix between reassuring and threating information. There is the need for authoritative sources, not only of NEO data but also for disseminating unambiguously to the public and the press the related information.
 
This is why the International Astronomical Union has appointed as reference sources for NEO impact monitoring data the NEODyS and Sentry systems (running at the University of Pisa, Italy and at JPL, USA, respectively). It also motivates the establishment of the NEO Coordination Centre of the European Space Agency: relying on the NEODyS computational engine it disseminates data and provides services on the NEO hazard toward a wide range of different users and stakeholders.
 
The more experienced user can rule out any short-term threat by simply displaying the 2014 UR116 Summary Page of ESA's NEO web portal at http://neo.ssa.esa.int: the MOID (Minimum Orbit Intersect Distance) value of 0.0288 au of the asteroid implies that the closest approaches could now occur only at a safe distance of nearly 5 million km. A fact that can also be visualised by opening the Orbit Visualization Tool, which allows to move the orbit in space and understand the underlying orbital geometries.
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LBT detects one of the faintest NEOs ever observed thanks to a collaboration between INAF and ESA
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The Large Binocular Telescope (LBT), of which the Italian National Institute for Astrophysics (INAF)  is a main partner, has successfully observed asteroid 2014 KC46 in one of the faintest Near-Earth Object (NEO) recoveries ever performed. This challenging observation, which pushed the limits of the telescope down to a visual magnitude of 26.3, was carried out on the nights of 28 and 30 October 2014 by a new collaboration between the Italian LBT team and the NEO Coordination Centre of the European Space Agency.

LBT spotted the 100-metre-sized object while it was just beyond the orbit of Mars. The corresponding measurement of its position was sufficient to decrease the uncertainties associated to its orbital path to the point of safely dismissing any possible threat that the asteroid may hit the Earth in the near future.

 

The successful observation of 2014 KC46 has been made possible by the unique performances of LBT: a large field of view to entirely cover the uncertainty in the position of the target asteroid, coupled with the ability to spot very faint objects thanks to the twin 8.4-meter mirrors of the telescope. This result highlights the importance of rapid response for securing NEO orbits and the effectiveness of LBT in detecting faint large-uncertainty objects.

The data have been accepted by the IAU Minor Planet Center, the official organisation in charge of collecting astrometric data for small bodies of the solar system, and published in the electronic circular MPEC 2014-V35. Both the European NEODyS system and the JPL-based Sentry system updated their orbit determination and impact monitoring using the new LBT observations, and confirmed the removal of all impact solutions for the next century.

The Large Binocular Telescope is a facility consisting of two 8.4-meter mirrors on a common mount, located at an altitude of 3200 m on Mt. Graham (Arizona, USA). This telescope is equivalent in light-gathering power to a single 11.8 meter instrument.

LBT is a collaboration between the Instituto Nazionale di Astrofisica (INAF), The University of Arizona, Arizona State University, Northern Arizona University, the LBT Beteiligungsgesellschaft in Germany, The Ohio State University, Research Corporation in Tucson, and the University of Notre Dame.

The NEO Segment of ESA's Space Situational Awareness (SSA) aims to coordinate and combine information from different sources, analyse them to predict possible impact with the Earth, assess danger, and analyse possible mitigations, including the deflection of a menacing asteroid.

Within this framework, the ESA NEO Coordination Centre provides data and services on the NEO hazard and coordinates follow-up astronomical observations.

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Final presentation day at ESRIN - Computing the risk of NEOs, impact scenarios, the future of NEO activities, and more
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The SSA-NEO and NEOCC-Team in front of the Coordination Centre (from left to right: Gerhard Drolshagen, Philipp Maier, Detlef Koschny, Joaquim Correia de Oliveira, Marco Micheli, Fabrizio Bernardi, Barbara Borgia, Ettore Perozzi, Ana Maria Teodorescu)
 
On 18th November, ESRIN and the heart of ESA's NEO activities, the NEO Coordination Centre (NEOCC), welcomed an elaborate group of people involved in NEO activities in Europe. About 40 NEO scientists, technical, and political experts followed the final presentations and status reports of four activities carried out for ESA over the last two years.
The presentations ranged from the everyday work at the NEOCC, providing the expert community and the public with most up-to-date data on NEOs, all the way to the calculation of NEO impact effects and possible mitigation missions for Earth-threatening objects. In a concluding discussion, possible future activities for Europe were discussed.
All presentations as well as a video recording of the event are publically available. The presentations can be downloaded in the proceedings section of the event webpage at http://bit.ly/neo-fpd.
 
The video recordings are available here:
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Getting ready for asteroids
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​​​​​​With a mandate from the UN, ESA and other space agencies from around the world are about to establish a high-level group to help coordinate global response should a threatening asteroid ever be found heading towards Earth.

 
For the first time, national space agencies from North and South America, Europe, Asia and Africa will establish an expert group aimed at getting the world's space-faring nations on the ‘same page' when it comes to reacting to asteroid threats.
 
Its task is to coordinate expertise and capabilities for missions aimed at countering asteroids that might one day strike Earth.
 
Of the more than 600 000 known asteroids in our Solar System, more than 10 000 are classified as near-Earth objects, or NEOs, because their orbits bring them relatively close to our path.
 
​​​​​Dramatic proof that any of these can strike Earth came on 15 February 2013, when an unknown object thought to be 17–20 m in diameter arrived at 66 000 km/h and exploded high above Chelyabinsk, Russia, with 20–30 times the energy of the Hiroshima atomic bomb.
 
The resulting shock wave caused widespread damage and injuries, making it the largest known natural object to have entered the atmosphere since the 1908 Tunguska event, which destroyed a remote forest area of Siberia.
 
Coordinating global efforts
 
The Space Mission Planning and Advisory Group (SMPAG – pronounced ‘same page') was established by Action Team 14, a technical forum with a mandate from the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (UNCOPUOS) to develop a strategy on how to react on a possible asteroid impact threat.
 
It will coordinate the technological knowhow of agencies to recommend specific efforts related to asteroid threats, including basic research and development, impact mitigation measures and deflection missions.
 
"SMPAG will also develop and refine a set of reference missions that could be individually or cooperatively flown to intercept an asteroid," says Detlef  Koschny, Head of the NEO Segment in ESA's Space Situational Awareness (SSA) programme office.
 
"These include precursor missions or test and evaluation missions, which we need to fly to prove technology before a real threat arises."
 
The first-ever meeting will be hosted by ESA on 6–7 February at its operations centre in Darmstadt, Germany.
 
Thirty-plus representatives from 13 agencies, seven government ministries and the UN will share knowledge and the latest research related to impact case studies, and will develop a work plan for the next two years.
 
"As a first step, the group will study each agency's organisational and operational capabilities, specific technologies and scientific abilities, and propose options that make best use of who can do what, the best," says Detlef.
 
The group will work in close cooperation with another Action Team 14-mandated committee: the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN).
Each will study and recommend specific actions to deal with different aspects of the asteroid threat – IAWN to coordinate the global search for threatening NEOs, understand their effects in case of a collision, and interface with disaster preparation and civil response agencies; and SMPAG for the technology and space mission aspects.
 
Current threats, future scenarios
 
The critical first step is to spot potential threats in the sky with as much advance warning as possible.
 
"ESA is already doing a great deal to support the global effort to address the asteroid threat," says Nicolas Bobrinsky, ESA's SSA Programme Manager.
 
The Agency is now developing the capability to integrate Europe's current NEO tracking assets – as well as new technology such as automated, wide-field-of-view telescopes – into a coordinated and more efficient NEO system that can provide nightly sky surveys and advanced warnings.
 
Among other recent developments, starting in late 2013, ESA will make use of observing time at the European Southern Observatory in Chile to conduct quick and accurate confirmations of the most hazardous NEOs.
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Happy birthday, NEAS!
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The number of known Near-Earth Asteroids has just overcome 10,000 units! This result represents an important achievement if one thinks that over the one hundred years between 1898 (when the first NEA, 433 Eros was discovered) and 1998 only about 500 NEAs had been found, while the current NEA discovery rate is about 1,000 per year.

Out of the 10,000 discoveries, roughly 10 percent are larger than one kilometer in size, while the vast majority of NEAs are smaller than that, with the number of objects of a given size quickly increasing as the size decreases.

The first and most important step to protect our planet from NEAs is to discover all objects potentially at risk of collision with the Earth and in doing so the present wide-field, high-sensitivity sky surveys have proven extremely effective, putting astronomers are on the right track.

The elongated track left by 433 Eros is clearly visible in the discovery plate of the first NEA taken by Gustav Witt from the Observatory of Berlin. More details on the story behind Eros discovery at http://spaceguard.iaps.inaf.it/tumblingstone/issues/num20/eng/eros.htm

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TOTAS survey finds its first comet
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In a fruitful collaboration between ESA and a group of amateur astronomers, the first comet was discovered by the so-called TOTAS survey. The comet is called P/2014 C1 (TOTAS) and has an orbit between Jupiter and Mars.

TOTAS stands for 'Tenerife Observatory Teide Asteroid Survey'. The survey name is derived from the name SOHAS = Starkenburg Observatory Heppenheim Asteroid Survey. SOHAS was initiated by M. Busch, a software developer and active amateur astronomer at the public observatory in Heppenheim, Germany (called Starkenburg-Sternwarte). Already in 2009, M. Busch adapted his telescope control and asteroid search software to work with the 1-m telescope of ESA on Tenerife, the Optical Ground Station, and renamed it TOTAS.

Comet TOTAS images

When the SSA-NEO programme learned about this, a long and fruitful collaboration started in March 2010. During a survey test campaign very close to the morning horizon on 01 February 2014, the automatic processing software picked up a special object. R. Reszelewski, one of the team of amateur astronomers who check the images generated by the computer software, was the first to detect the cometary nature (on the left - Animation of the comet; Image credit: TOTAS/ESA).

Comet P/2014 C1 (TOTAS) orbit

The observations were immediately submitted to the Minor Planet Center. On 04 February, after confirming messages of eight other observatories securing the orbit, the Minor Planet Center announced the discovery of comet TOTAS (http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K14/K14C11.html.

The comet orbits the Sun between Jupiter and Mars and will not come close to the Earth. Its orbit is shown in the figure on the right: Comet P/2014 C1 (TOTAS) orbit (Image credit: M. Busch/EasySky).

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Happy Birthday NEOCC!
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Today the NEO Coordination Centre (NEOCC) celebrates its first year of activities. On 22 May 2013 the Centre was formally inaugurated at ESRIN by Thomas Reiter, ESA Director of Human Spaceflight and Operations.

Since then, the Centre has regularly provided information and data on NEOs through its main services updated on a daily basis (Risk list, Priority list, Close Approaches and Physical Properties) and through its technical news service.

In addition, several campaigns for astrometric and physical observations of NEAs have been organized and successfully completed. A network of collaborating observatories has been created (on the left - The AZT-24 Telescope at Campo Imperatore Station used for infrared observations of NEAs; Image credit: INAF).

A good example for an astrometric and physical observation campaign was the case of 2013 QW1, a candidate NEO in an Earth-bound orbit whose nature, either natural or artificial, needed to be quickly determined. An observingalert triggered by the NEOCC resulted in rapid spectroscopic observations from the 3.5 meter Italian Telescopio Nazionale Galileo (TNG) in the Canary Islands, which contributed to exclude that 2013 QW1 was  a natural object because of the ìartificialî appearance of its reflectance spectrum. We acknowledge Davide Perna, Antonella Barucci (Observatoire de Paris Meudon) and Elisabetta Dotto (INAF ñ Osservatorio di Roma) for having responded to our call.

The observing campaign of 2002 GT fits along the second type of activities done by the NEOCC, namley to coordinate observations.. The observing campaignwas organised by the Centre to characterise the target selected for the NASA EPOXI (formerly Deep Impact) mission during its last apparition before the then planned encounter with the spacecraft. A large community promptly responded: photometric and light-curve observations were performed from the 1-metre diameter C2PU telescope at the Observatoire de la Cote d'Azur, which allowed the calculation of the rotation period of the object (3.77 hours).

Spectra and photometric data were collected from the Asiago Observatory (University of Padova and Observatory of Padova) allowing the determination of the asteroid type (Sq); infrared observations were provided from the Campo Imperatore Station of the INAF Rome Astronomical Observatory. Finally, several astrometric measurements were provided by six telescopes belonging to the Gaia Follow-up Network for Solar System objects (Gaia-FUN-SSO).

Building up on these early experiences, a framework agreement with ESO's Very Large Telescope (VLT) has been established, which has allowed the Centre to start a focused observational effort to obtain astrometric observations of high-risk objects.

 

This collaboration allowed the NEOCC team to obtain critical observations of almost a dozen dangerous objects, which in most cases led to their removal from the list of possible future impactors; a few recent examples have been the early recovery of 2009 FD (currently the highest-rated known possible impactor) and the challenging follow-up observations of 2014 AF16.

The regular availability of the ESA Optical Ground Station (OGS) Telescope for ESAís NEO programme turned out to be extremely useful to perform routine observations of newly discovered objects, with a specific focus on the urgent targets suggested by the NEOCC Priority List.

The Centre keeps growing. The technical and scientific team behind the NEOCC is working on the implementation of new services and on the improvement of the existing ones, which will be soon available ( on the left - The ESA Optical Ground Station (OGS); Image credit: ESA). Meanwhile, a well-timed gift is already on the way for celebrating the second birthday of the NEOCC: the 4th IAA Planetary Defence Conference will be hosted at ESA/ESRIN on 13 - 17 April 2015. See you then!

External links:

ESA/ESO Collaboration Successfully Tracks Its First Potentially Threatening Near-Earth Object. ESO Announcement, 21 January 2014. http://www.eso.org/public/announcements/ann14004/
 
Target Asteroid Tracked by European Teams. ESA SSA News, 18 July 2013. http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Operations/Space_Situational_Awareness/Target_asteroid_tracked_by_European_teams

Space Oddity: The Mystery of 2013 QW1. ESA SSA News, 19 September 2013. http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Operations/Space_Situational_Awareness/Space_oddity_the_mystery_of_2013_QW1


Publications related to NEOCC activities:

E. Perozzi, D. Koschny, R. Dominguez-Gonzalez, G. Drolshagen, N. Sanchez-Ortiz. The SSA NEO Segment and Gaia: present opportunities and future developments. In proc. '2nd Gaia-Follow-Up Network for Solar System Objects'. P. Tanga and W. Thuillot eds. IMCCE/Observatoire de Paris, 2013.

E. Perozzi. The Near Earth Object Hazard and Mitigation. In proc. 'Mathematical Methods for Planet Earth'. A. Celletti, U. Locatelli, E. Strickland eds, Springer. 2013 (in press).

E. Perozzi, F. Bernardi, A. Milani, G.B. Valsecchi. "Vicini ma non troppo". Le Scienze, July 2013.

E.Perozzi, F. Bernardi, E. Foschi, G. Drolshagen, D. Koschny, G.B. Valsecchi: Observing small and accessible NEOs: the importance of newly discovered objects. Stardust Virtual Workshop, Glasgow 6-9 May 2014.

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2014 RC - a close fly-by coming up
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In the evening of 07 September 2014, the newly discovered asteroid 2014 RC will have a very close fly-by of just above 30000 km to our planet. The object is estimated to be between 10 and 30 m in size. While the fly-by is very close,there is no chance that the object will hit the Earth.
 
2014 RC was announced as a newly discovered object by the Minor Planet Center in the US on 02 September 2014. Its fly-by velocity will be fairly slow, just around 11 km per second. The European NEODyS system finds a nominal fly-by distance to the Earth's surface of 33587 km, which is just inside the geostationary ring.
 
The close approach time will be between 18:00 and 18:15 UTC on 07 September 2014 (Update: the revised close approach time was 18:02 UTC). The object will reach a magnitude of 11 which would make it in principle observable with a pair of binoculars or a small telescope. Unfortunately the object will not be visible over Europe.
 
This object is comparable in size to the object that entered the Earth's atmosphere over Chelyabinsk in Russia on 15 February 2013. Luckily it
will fly by our planet safely.
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Target asteroid tracked by european teams
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In a recent close-ish flyby, asteroid 2002 GT was studied in detail for the first time by a network of European astronomers. The observations were coordinated by ESA's asteroid centre in Italy, and should prove crucial for a future spacecraft rendezvous.

Asteroid 2002 GT, a relatively large object a few hundred metres across, made a somewhat close flyby of Earth on 26 June, passing us at almost 50 times the distance of the Moon.

The encounter sparked intensive worldwide observations because the asteroid is the target of NASA's Epoxi mission in January 2020.

Last month's flyby was the last chance before then to study the object's diameter, rotation, composition and other physical characteristics (on top - Asteroid 2002GT passes Earth 26 June 2013; More about this video).

Ideal opportunity to coordinate response

"The flyby presented an ideal opportunity to exercise the unique ‘coordinating function' of ESA's new Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre," says Ettore Perozzi, project leader for NEO services at Deimos Space.

"By alerting and then collating observations from diverse European teams, the Centre was able to provide a comprehensive set of results back to the scientific and space exploration communities, a cycle that wasn't happening before. This is really a first for Europe."

Deimos Space leads a project team that operates the Centre at the Agency's ESRIN site near Rome.

The gathered information will enable a very good characterisation of the asteroid's surface composition, thermal properties, shape and rotation. All of these features are crucial for any spacecraft visit.

Moreover, analysis of its changing brightness indicates the possible presence of a small moon.

Focal point: ESA's NEO Coordination Centre

Gerhard Drolshagen, co-manager of the NEO segment at ESA's Space Situational Awareness programme office, says the 2002 GT (below in the image) event highlighted the potential coordination role that the Centre can play in addition to its primary function of providing information on all known NEOs, including their orbits, impact risk and close approaches to Earth.

"Traditionally, Europe's asteroid community reliably delivered world-class observations and has been credited with many significant discoveries and findings. What was lacking, however, was a central point to coordinate and synthesise data that could function across national and organisational boundaries.

"Our Centre has proven it can act as a driving force and a focal point for the European and international community involved in asteroid science, impact monitoring and mitigation."

Ettore adds: "We now know 2002 GT is a rocky body, belonging to a peculiar transition class that astronomers refer to as ‘Sq-type'.

"It's also a potentially hazardous object, as its orbit crosses that of Earth, so it's certainly a very interesting object, well worth watching."

More about the NEO Coordination Centre, SSA and contact information

About 2002GT observations

ESA's Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre (NEO-CC) received well-documented observations of 2002GT as follows:

- Photometry and light-curve data from the 1 m-diameter C2PU telescope at the Observatoire de la Cote d'Azur, which allows calculation of the rotation period (3.77 hours). The shape of the light curve is also compatible with the presence of a satellite.

- Spectra and photometric data from Asiago Observatory (University of Padova and Observatory of Padova) which allows determination of the asteroid type (Sq), in agreement with other observations.

- Infrared observations from the Campo Imperatore Station of the INAF Rome Astronomical Observatory. Even under bad weather conditions, teams there were able to spot the asteroid 20 days before Earth flyby.

- Astrometry from Gaia-FUN-SSO. Six telescopes observed 2002 GT providing more than 1000 astrometric measurements. These were sent to the Minor Planet Centre and processed at the Institut de Mécanique Céléste et de Calcul des Ephémérides for computing orbital elements.

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Comet ISON: recent observations of an approaching body
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A new series of images from Gemini Observatory shows Comet C/2012 S1 (ISON) heading toward an extremely close rendezvous with the Sun. The images have been takenbetween February and May 2013 and show the comet's remarkable activity despite its current great distance from the Sun and Earth (730-580 million kilometers; or 4.9-3.9 A.U. from the Sun, just inside the orbital distance of Jupiter). Each image in the series is taken with the Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph at the Gemini North telescope on Mauna Kea, Hawaii.

Discovered in September 2012 by two Russian amateur astronomers, Comet ISON will come to perihelion on 28 November 2013 at a distance of 0.012 AU (1,800,000 km) from the center point of the Sun. Accounting for the solar radius, the comet will pass approximately 1,100,000 km above the Sun's surface. This will be a very close pass. With a fairly large nucleus, estimated in the 1 to 10 km range, the comet will surely undergo strong radiation and tidal stresses and a tidal breakup is not an improbable outcome of the graze. But if Comet ISON survives that close encounter, the comet may appear in the morning sky before dawn in early December and become one of the greatest comets in the last 50 years or more.

Images of Comet ISON obtained using the Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph at Gemini North on February 4, March 4, April 3, and May 4, 2013 (left to right, respectively; Comet ISON at center in all images). Credit: Gemini Observatory/AURA.

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Watching out for hazards: ESA opens asteroid centre
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ESA today inaugurated a new hub that will strengthen Europe's contribution to the global hunt for asteroids and other hazardous natural objects that may strike Earth.

Near-Earth Objects, or NEOs, are asteroids or comets with sizes ranging from metres to tens of kilometres that orbit the Sun and whose orbits come close to that of Earth. There are over 600.000 asteroids known in our Solar System, and almost 10.000 of them are NEOs.

Dramatic proof that some of these could strike Earth came on 15 February, when an unknown object thought to be 17–20 m in diameter exploded high above Chelyabinsk, Russia, with 20–30 times the energy of the Hiroshima atomic bomb. The resulting shock wave caused widespread damage and injuries, making it the largest known natural object to have entered the atmosphere since the 1908 Tunguska event.

The NEO Coordination Centre will serve as the central access point to a network of European NEO data sources and information providers being established under ESA's Space Situational Awareness (SSA) Programme.

This is the second centre to be opened under SSA leadership after the Space Weather Coordination Centre that opened in Brussels last month.

Located at ESRIN, ESA's centre for Earth observation, the centre was formally inaugurated today by Thomas Reiter, ESA Director of Human Spaceflight and Operations, together with Augusto Cramarossa, Italian Delegate to the ESA Council, and Claudio Portelli, Italian Delegate to the SSA Programme, both of ASI, the Italian space agency.

The event was hosted by Volker Liebig, ESA Director of Earth Observation Programmes and Head of the ESRIN Establishment.

The new centre will support experts in the field by federating new and existing European assets, systems and sensors into a future NEO system. It will support the integration and initial operation of ESA's NEO information distribution network (on the left - Asteroid 2012DA14).

The Centre is also the focus point for scientific studies needed to improve NEO warning services and provide near-realtime data to European and international customers, including scientific bodies, international organisations and decision-makers.

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After Chelyabinsk: European experts assess asteroid options
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In February, a speeding asteroid slammed into our atmosphere and exploded high over Russia's Ural region (on the left - Asteroid trace over Chelyabinsk, Russia, on 15 February 2013), injuring hundreds and causing millions of euros of damage. What should we do if we have a similar – or even bigger – strike in the future?

Of the more than 600.000 known asteroids in our Solar System, almost 10.000 are classified as near-Earth objects, or NEOs, because their orbits bring them relatively close to Earth's path.

Dramatic proof that any of these can strike Earth came on 15 February, when an unknown object thought to be 17–20 m in diameter arrived at 66 000 km/h and exploded high above Chelyabinsk, Russia, with 20–30 times the energy of the Hiroshima atomic bomb.

The resulting shock wave caused widespread damage and injuries, making it the largest known natural object to have entered the atmosphere since the 1908 Tunguska event, which destroyed a remote forest area of Siberia.

"It's important that we become aware of the current and future position of NEOs, develop estimates on the likelihood of impacts and assess the possible consequences," says Detlef Koschny, Head of NEO activities in the Agency's Space Situational Awareness (SSA) Programme Office.(on the right-Artist's impression of asteroids passing Earth

"More importantly, we must consider whether and how warning, mitigation and possible deflection actions can be taken. It's important not only for Europe, but for the rest of the planet, too."

One aspect of ESA's four-year-old SSA activity requires the development of an integrated system to scan the sky nightly for as-yet-undiscovered NEOs.

Another important element is studying how mitigation measures can be applied in the case of smaller NEOs, and how to deflect any larger ones that may seriously threaten our home planet.

This week, Deimos Space, an industrial partner working for ESA on SSA, has invited top researchers from universities, research institutes, national space agencies and industry in Europe and the USA to discuss the state of the art in NEO impact effects and threat mitigation.

The meeting is taking place in Tres Cantos, Spain, near Madrid.

"A great deal of work remains to be done, for example, in computer modelling of impact effects, how airbursts differ from ground strikes, kinetic versus explosive deflection strategies and much more," says Gerhard Drolshagen, of the SSA Programme Office.

"The aim is to develop plans that will guide us in current and future NEO research and development."

Ultimately, ESA aims to develop the capability to integrate Europe's current and new assets – such as automated telescopes – into a coordinated and more efficient NEO system that can provide nightly sky surveys and advanced warning.

"With this, we can work with our partner agencies, scientists, industry and international bodies like the UN to offer firm options to national governments and political decision-makers," says Nicolas Bobrinsky, Head of ESA's SSA Programme.

"Events like the Chelyabinsk strike show that the NEO hazard is not just theoretical, and we need to invest in practical measures today to address tomorrow's threats."

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The impact risk for 2011 AG5 has been cleared
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The orbital path of 2011 AG5 has been carefully analyzed in the past year, due to its 1-in-550 probability to pass, during the moderately close approach to the Earth that will take place in early February 2023, through a 365 km wide keyhole leading to a resonant return with impact on the Earth on 5 February 2040.

As it is customary in these cases, observing opportunities, useful to refine the orbit and possibly remove the collision possibilities, have been looked for; the first of these opportunities has occurred in October 2012, and has been put to good use by a team of the Institute for Astronomy of the University of Hawaii, using the Gemini North telescope.

Given the difficulty of the observations, the analysis of the collected data has taken some time. The astrometry so obtained has been fed to the CLOMON2 impact monitoring robot, and the results have been carefully cross-checked with those of JPL Sentry.

The result is that no impact with the Earth is possible between now and 2100. It is anyway desirable that the next observing opportunities for this object be exploited, so as to further refine our knowledge of its motion and especially of the circumstances of its encounter with the Earth in 2023, when physical observations would be possible. (Source: NEODyS)

Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph image of 2011 AG5. The asteroid is the point at the center of the image -circled. (Image credit: Gemini Observatory)